MLB Game Previews and Betting Odds for Tuesday, July 21
Key Player Props for Tuesday’s Games
Several player prop bets are drawing attention for Tuesday’s MLB games. Among these, Bo Bichette is highlighted for 2+ Hits/Runs/RBI, with odds at -120. Spencer Torkelson is also noted for 2+ Hits/Runs/RBI, with odds of +100. Additionally, Chase Burns is a focus for 8+ Strikeouts, carrying odds of +136.
These prop bets focus on individual player performance, such as strikeouts, hits, or total bases, rather than the overall game outcome. This allows for analysis of specific matchups, recent player form, and ballpark conditions.
Matchup Analysis and Predictions
The game between the New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers at 7:41 p.m. ET features Bo Bichette, who has shown a .298 wOBA, though his expected wOBA is .328. His .289 BABIP is below his career mark of .333. Bichette is set to face Brandon Sproat, who has allowed a .360 wOBA and 2.33 homers per nine innings to right-handed hitters. Bichette has recorded two-hit performances in his last two games and has a 9.4% strikeout rate over his recent 53 plate appearances.
In the Detroit Tigers versus Chicago Cubs game at 8:06 p.m. ET, Spencer Torkelson is a player to watch. Torkelson, who had 31 home runs and a .339 wOBA in 2025, currently has a .315 wOBA this season. He has a career-best hard-hit rate of 40.2% and has performed well against left-handers, with a .354 wOBA and a 50.0% fly-ball rate. The Cubs acquired David Peterson, who has a 6.14 SIERA and an 11.1% K rate over 14.1 innings with the team, allowing 1.88 homers per nine. Peterson previously gave up 10 earned runs in 3.2 innings in a game at Wrigley.
The Cincinnati Reds will play the Seattle Mariners at 9:41 p.m. ET. Chase Burns is expected to pitch at T-Mobile Park, which has been identified as a pitcher-friendly stadium over the last three seasons, particularly for strikeouts. Burns has a 28.6% strikeout rate and a 14.1% swinging-strike rate. In his last nine starts, he has recorded at least eight strikeouts in four games and exactly seven strikeouts in three others. The Mariners have a 23.0% strikeout rate and a .305 wOBA.
The Reds are considered a value play against the Mariners. Chase Burns, a rookie right-hander, holds an 11-1 record with a 2.54 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 118 strikeouts over 102.2 innings. His opponent, Luis Castillo of the Mariners, has a 3-8 record, 4.93 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, and 81 strikeouts in 87.2 innings. The Mariners are 51-50 overall and 30-21 at home, while the Reds are 45-54 overall and 23-26 on the road. Both teams have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games.
The Miami Marlins versus Houston Astros game presents another intriguing opportunity. The Marlins are 52-49 overall, while the Astros are 48-54. Tyler Phillips, a starter for Miami, has a 3.48 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over 75 innings. Houston’s Tatsuya Imai has a 6.06 ERA and 1.50 WHIP over 52 innings. The Marlins have a team ERA of 4.05 compared to the Astros’ 4.75, and they lead in batting average (.252 vs. .241), on-base percentage (.328 vs. .315), and OPS (.736 vs. .726). Both teams have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games.
In the Tigers and Cubs matchup, Framber Valdez of Detroit is seen as a significant advantage. Valdez has a 5-6 record with a 4.10 ERA and 1.32 WHIP over 107.2 innings. David Peterson of the Cubs has a 6.45 ERA and 1.64 WHIP across 82.1 innings. The Cubs are 56-44 overall and 29-21 at Wrigley Field. The Tigers have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games with a 2.10 team ERA, outscoring opponents by 22 runs. Detroit’s team ERA is 3.59 compared to Chicago’s 4.29.
Tuesday’s Best Bets
- Reds ML for 1 unit (Circa Sports +107)
- Marlins ML for 1 unit (FanDuel +108)
- Tigers ML for 1 unit (Circa Sports +105)
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Source: fanduel.com
